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VTI Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: VTI shows robust long-term growth, indicated by low implied volatility and optimistic historical returns. Call option trading significantly outweighs puts, suggesting positive investor sentiment.

Bearish Case: Persistent backwardation in volatility indicates possible market caution. Recent downturns and low trading volume at 4th percentile raise concerns about near-term performance.

Potential Outcomes: Continued growth: 55% - Strong historical return surface.
Short-term stagnation: 30% - Implied volatility anticipates flat movement.
Significant downturn: 15% - Backwardation and low volume concerns.

April 27, 2025

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VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with VTI

IVV BTC iShares Core S&P 500 (1.0)

SSO ProShares Ultra S&P500 (0.99)

SPYG SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 Growth (0.98)

XLG Invesco Capital Management LLC - Invesco S&P 500 Top 50 (0.98)

VT Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Total World Stock (0.97)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to VTI

SEE Sealed Air (-0.01)

UL Unilever (0.01)

ADI Analog Devices (-0.01)

HELE Helen of Troy (-0.01)

CMCSA Comcast (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against VTI

UDN Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish (-0.75)

PAGS PagSeguro Digital (-0.75)

EC Ecopetrol SA (-0.76)

BMRN Registered Shares (-0.77)

DG Dollar General (-0.86)

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* Disclaimer: Nothing on this website constitutes investment advice, performance data or any recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. Helium Trades is not responsible in any way for the accuracy of any model predictions or price data. Any mention of a particular security and related prediction data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Helium Trades is not responsible for any of your investment decisions, you should consult a financial expert before engaging in any transaction.