WBA Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Strong institutional buying interest and new strategic healthcare initiatives support potential rebounds, particularly with Helium indicating bullish risk outweighs bearish.




Bearish Case: Persistent operational struggles, declining fundamentals, and high debt levels could continue exerting downward pressure on WBA. Elevated implied volatility reflects market uncertainty.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 35%: Recovery fueled by strategic initiatives.
  • 50%: Continued decline due to operational issues.
  • 15%: Unexpected strategic catalyst triggers gains.




Trading Oracle: Consider a bearish short volatility strategy using credit spreads. Sell $9.50 calls and buy $10.50 calls. With elevated implied volatility and a high probability of profit, this strategy leverages bearish sentiment and provides a stable edge with manageable risk.



January 05, 2025


Walgreens Boots Alliance Forecast

WBA        Walgreens Boots Alliance











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XRX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XRX  Xerox (0.9)


IEP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IEP  Icahn (0.9)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to WBA



GTLS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GTLS  Chart Industries (-0.01)


APH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   APH  Amphenol (-0.01)


HIVE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIVE  HIVE Blockchain (-0.02)


INTU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INTU  Intuit (-0.02)


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Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against WBA



COOP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COOP  Mr. Cooper (-0.91)


AGX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AGX  Argan (-0.91)


TT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TT  Trane (-0.92)


BSX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BSX  Boston Scientific (-0.92)


ERJ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ERJ  Embraer (-0.93)









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