WMT Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: Walmart's investments in technology like digital shelf labels and robust omnichannel strategy boost operational efficiency and customer experience, drawing higher earnings and market share.


Bearish Case: Ongoing legal issues, a tepid consumer spending environment, and slowing growth momentum could depress Walmart's stock despite technological advancements, impacting investor sentiment negatively.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Tech-driven operational improvements (60%).

2. Negative consumer trend impacts (30%).

3. Legal and reputational damage (10%). These outcomes are based on historical trends, recent advancements, and current market sentiment.


Trading Oracle: Optimal strategy: engage in a near-term bearish credit spread, leveraging Helium's high implied volatility model. Sell 5 $68.0 strike calls and buy 7 $69.0 strike calls, expiring in ~7 days, with a 70% probability of profit, aligning with term structure and volatility surface trends.


June 30, 2024


Walmart Forecast

WMT      Walmart











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