NKLA Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: Nikola's recent truck sales exceeded expectations. Promising large orders and an expanding hydrogen infrastructure support a positive outlook, aiding future revenue growth.


Bearish Case: Nikola's financial instability, coupled with high competition and volatility, presents significant risks. Poor historical performance and low liquidity signal potential further declines despite recent sales spikes.


Potential Outcomes: Increased hydrogen truck adoption (40%), financial strife leading towards bankruptcy or acquisition (30%), stable yet modest growth due to partnerships (30%). These reflect ongoing financial issues and market dynamics.


Trading Oracle: Trade bearish debit spreads expiring in 1-2 months. NKLA's high volatility and financial risks favor this, targeting $8.5 puts and selling $8 puts. This captures downside and has a controlled risk profile during uncertain times.


July 07, 2024










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