WPC Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: WPC's diversified real estate portfolio offers resilience, supported by a strategic shift towards industrial properties. Historical mean reversion and current low valuation present a potential rebound opportunity, bolstered by stable dividend yields attracting value-oriented investors.




Bearish Case: High debt levels and rising interest rates continue to exert pressure on WPC, complicating its financial recovery. Elevated implied volatility suggests market skepticism, with historical price stagnation indicating potential ongoing challenges.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 45% Spin-off increases investor interest.
  • 30% Financial strain due to high costs.
  • 15% Rising rates worsen financing woes.
  • 10% Industrial success boosts income.




Trading Oracle:

Pursue a Bullish Short Volatility strategy due to favorable market odds and elevated implied volatility. This play leverages WPC’s mean-reverting behavior. High profitability probability through selling ATM puts while hedging with OOTM puts for potential risk mitigation.



May 14, 2025


W. P. Carey Forecast

WPC        W. P. Carey











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FEZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FEZ  SPDR EURO Stoxx 50 (0.73)


SNY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SNY  Sanofi (0.68)


VOD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VOD  Vodafone (0.62)


YCL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   YCL  ProShares Ultra Yen (0.61)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to WPC



SCHD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SCHD  Schwab US Dividend Equity (-0.0)


HIW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIW  Highwoods Properties (-0.01)


TK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TK  Teekay (0.01)


DOMO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DOMO  Domo (-0.01)


IMAX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IMAX  Imax (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against WPC



FUN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FUN  Cedar Fair (-0.62)


RPD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RPD  Rapid7 (-0.65)


FLR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FLR  Fluor (-0.66)


NOA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NOA  North American Construction (-0.67)


DDOG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DDOG  Datadog (-0.71)









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