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WU Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: WU's digital transformation and AI initiatives boost operational efficiency. Strategic partnerships enhance competitive positioning.

Bearish Case: High debt and historical declines create financial headwinds. Competitive pressures from fintechs persist, limiting recovery.

Potential Outcomes: 60% chance of flat performance due to offsetting factors; 30% chance of modest decline from debt; 10% chance of rebound with successful AI integration.

Trading Oracle: Bearish Long Volatility leverages potential downward movement due to debt concerns and flat term structure. Exploit higher implied volatility landscape and historic underperformance for strategic gains.

April 12, 2025

Western Union Forecast

WU Western Union

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with WU

DVN Devon Energy (0.89)

ADNT Adient (0.88)

COTY Coty (0.87)

STM New York Shares (0.87)

GES Guess (0.86)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to WU

SMG Scotts Miracle-Gro (0.0)

KO Coca-Cola (-0.01)

RMBS Rambus (-0.03)

SAN Banco Santander (-0.05)

DV DoubleVerify (0.07)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against WU

CHWY Chewy (-0.85)

COLB Columbia Banking System (-0.85)

SUPV Grupo Supervielle S.A. (-0.85)

RKLB Rocket Lab USA (-0.89)

CLBT Cellebrite DI (-0.89)

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Short Volatility

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