XLF Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: XLF's strong historical returns and 83% bullish skew suggest potential for gains. Low volatility provides a favorable environment for upward movement.




Bearish Case: High IV and recent flat price action signal potential downside risk, amplified by economic uncertainties and negative macro sentiment.




Potential Outcomes:

1) Continued upside (40% chance) given bullish sentiment;

2) Sideways movement (30%) due to flat term structure;

3) Downward trend (30%) from global uncertainties.




Trading Oracle: Sign Up to access trading oracle trade ideas.



June 21, 2025


Financial Select Sector SPDR Forecast

XLF        Financial Select Sector SPDR











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with XLF



JPM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JPM  JPMorgan Chase (0.96)


RCL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RCL  Royal Caribbean (0.94)


BYD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BYD  Boyd Gaming (0.94)


ARKF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ARKF  ARK Fintech Innovation (0.93)


BMO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BMO  Bank of Montreal (0.92)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to XLF



DKS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DKS  Dicks Sporting Goods (-0.01)


DXC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DXC  DXC Technology (0.01)


LASR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LASR  nLIGHT (0.01)


BBWI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BBWI  Bath & Body Works (0.01)


POWW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   POWW  AMMO (0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against XLF



KHC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KHC  Kraft Heinz (-0.72)


ADM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ADM  Archer Daniels Midland (-0.73)


STM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STM  New York Shares (-0.73)


CNC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CNC  Centene (-0.75)


SPXU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXU  ProShares UltraPro Short S&P 500 (-0.87)









Become a more profitable trader with AI optimized trading strategies






×

Chat with XLF


 Ask any question about XLF!