YELP Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Yelp’s technological enhancements and increased call trading volume indicate potential upward momentum, possibly boosting ad revenue and user engagement.




Bearish Case: High competitive pressure, legal challenges, and relatively flat pricing trends suggest downside risks, along with helium forecasting lower-than-market implied volatility.




Potential Outcomes: 60% chance of technological improvements boosting user bases; 30% competition limits growth; 10% regulatory issues impact pricing.




Trading Oracle: Trade a bearish credit spread expiring in ~30 days. Opt for selling 1 $37 call and buying 2 $40 calls. Helium data shows high implied volatility with elevated market vs helium forecasts, suggesting downside. Capture premium with a strong probability of profit and defined risk management.



February 21, 2025










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BB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BB  BlackBerry (0.78)


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Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to YELP



TRV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TRV  Travelers Companies (0.0)


CNDT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CNDT  Conduent (-0.0)


S Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   S  Sprint (0.01)


DB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DB  Deutsche (-0.01)


HIVE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIVE  HIVE Blockchain (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against YELP



XLV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLV  Health Care Select Sector SPDR (-0.74)


IFF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IFF  International Flavors & Fragrances (-0.76)


AMT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMT  American Tower (-0.78)


HCA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HCA  HCA Healthcare (-0.79)


KO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KO  Coca-Cola (-0.8)









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