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Bullish Case: Despite recent closures, Dollar Tree's strategic move to higher price points could attract higher-income customers, potentially improving margins and earnings.


Bearish Case: Store closures, recent massive loss, and rising theft issues present significant headwinds that could impact Dollar Tree's profitability and stock price.


Potential Outcomes:

1) Store closures lead to cost savings and margin improvements (40%).

2) Continued operational struggles and theft issues drive further losses (35%).

3) New pricing strategy fails, leading to customer attrition (25%).


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March 27, 2024


Dollar Tree Forecast

DLTR        Dollar Tree
Price Forecast: NEUTRAL    Price Action: RANDOM (?)






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