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HRB Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: HRB's ongoing digital transformation and AI integration in tax services enhance client retention and operating efficiency, potentially boosting market share and revenue.

Bearish Case: Legal challenges and increasing competition from IRS free-filing services could erode HRB's market share, impacting revenue and stock performance.

Potential Outcomes: Successful AI integration boosts revenue (40%).
IRS free-filing pressures HRB's market share (25%).
Ongoing legal challenges reduce stock price (20%).
Unexpectedly strong tax season performance (15%).

June 20, 2025

H&R Block Forecast

HRB H&R Block

Price Forecast
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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with HRB

FE Firstenergy (0.79)

HCA HCA Healthcare (0.73)

O Realty Income (0.7)

LMT Lockheed Martin (0.7)

NGG National Grid (0.65)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to HRB

M Macy's (0.01)

MMYT MakeMyTrip (-0.01)

FITB Fifth Third Bancorp (-0.01)

APPN Appian (-0.02)

SGML Sigma Lithium (0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against HRB

FRSH Freshworks (-0.64)

ET Energy Transfer LP (-0.64)

BB BlackBerry (-0.65)

ARCC Ares (-0.65)

BXSL Blackstone Secured Lending Fund. (-0.73)

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