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MDT Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Medtronic's focus on R&D and strategic expansions, combined with the diabetes business spin-off, offers long-term growth potential, leveraging reduced volatility and improving market sentiment.

Bearish Case: Regulatory hurdles and competition challenge MDT's profitability. High implied volatility and historical mean reversion suggest potential downside risk and price instability.

Potential Outcomes:

1. FDA approves key products, enhancing growth (55%).

2. Regulatory hurdles create setbacks (30%).

3. Spin-off boosts valuation (15%).

June 20, 2025

Medtronic Forecast

MDT Medtronic

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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