MT Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: MT's low price-to-book ratio suggests undervaluation, with call option volumes 33% higher than puts indicating bullish sentiment. The implied volatility backwardation hints at short-term gains.




Bearish Case: High implied volatility and historical price trends indicate market uncertainty. The mean-reverting price action with high put option interest suggests potential downside risks.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 30% chance of modest upward momentum due to undervaluation realization.
  • 50% likelihood of continued flat trading reflecting mean reversion.
  • 20% probability of decline amid market volatility.



June 20, 2025


New York Shares Forecast

MT        New York Shares











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with MT



MCHI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MCHI  BTC iShares MSCI China (0.91)


BABA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BABA  Alibaba (0.9)


PM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PM  Philip Morris International (0.84)


PPL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PPL  PPL (0.83)


EWP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EWP  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares MSCI Spain (0.82)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MT



SABR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SABR  Sabre (0.0)


RF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RF  Regions Financial (-0.0)


ES Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ES  Eversource Energy (-0.0)


HCA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HCA  HCA Healthcare (-0.0)


OUST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OUST  Ouster (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MT



STNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STNG  Scorpio Tankers (-0.75)


COTY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COTY  Coty (-0.75)


IQV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IQV  IQVIA (-0.75)


MUR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MUR  Murphy Oil (-0.76)


NUVB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NUVB  Nuvation Bio (-0.77)









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