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NAT Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Geopolitical tensions boost oil tanker demand, benefiting NAT. High call option volume and backwardation in implied volatility suggest market optimism for upward trend.

Bearish Case: High operational challenges and historical volatility indicate risk. Price below book value signals market skepticism, and potential dividend cuts could amplify sell-off pressure.

Potential Outcomes: Geopolitical disruptions increase tanker demand (60%)
Operational challenges lead to price drop (25%)
Strategic acquisition or news spur rally (15%)

June 18, 2025

Nordic American Tankers Forecast

NAT Nordic American Tankers

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with NAT

STNG Scorpio Tankers (0.91)

CVE Cenovus Energy (0.89)

FSLR First Solar (0.88)

TDW Tidewater Inc. - New (0.88)

MUR Murphy Oil (0.87)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to NAT

ESTC Elastic (0.01)

OUST Ouster (-0.01)

DVA DaVita (-0.01)

PNC PNC Financial Services (-0.02)

GT Goodyear Tire & Rubber (-0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against NAT

CORT Corcept Therapeutics (-0.76)

GAMB Gambling.com (-0.76)

AOUT American Outdoor Brands (-0.76)

IMAX Imax (-0.76)

LRN Stride (-0.77)

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