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RIG Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: RIG's substantial contract backlog signals confidence in its future cash flows. Increased future cost savings and potential market recovery positions it for a rebound.

Bearish Case: Debt concerns and potential dilution weigh heavily, risking further price declines. Backwardation in implied volatility suggests uncertain market sentiments.

Potential Outcomes: Revenue boost from contract backlog (55%), debt-related pressure lowers stock (35%), market recovery stimulates sector (10%).

June 26, 2025

Transocean Forecast

RIG Transocean

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Assets that tend to move strongly with RIG

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COTY Coty (0.93)

DOW Dow (0.93)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to RIG

OWL Blue Owl (-0.01)

STNE StoneCo (0.01)

VRT Vertiv (-0.02)

QLD ProShares Ultra QQQ (0.02)

WWW Wolverine World Wide (-0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against RIG

LRN Stride (-0.87)

GILD Gilead Sciences (-0.87)

PM Philip Morris International (-0.88)

VRSN Verisign (-0.9)

CNP Centerpoint Energy (-0.9)

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