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USO Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: USO shows bullish potential with upward momentum from a 9% rise last month. Geopolitical tensions may sustain demand, coupled with favorable options market signals.



Bearish Case: High bearish risk and dominant put volumes hint at downside pressure. The recent 7.5% drop and geopolitical uncertainties could exacerbate bearish trends.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Moderate rise due to ongoing tensions (30%).
  • Sideways movement amid uncertainty (40%).
  • Downward shift if bearish risks escalate (30%).



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June 26, 2025


United States Commodity Funds Forecast

USO        United States Commodity Funds

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with USO


PTEN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PTEN  Patterson-UTI Energy (0.71)


MEOH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MEOH  Methanex (0.7)


HTGC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HTGC  Hercules (0.64)


SU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SU  Suncor Energy (0.64)


HES Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HES  Hess (0.63)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to USO


SUN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SUN  Sunoco (-0.0)


CUBE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CUBE  CubeSmart (0.0)


ZG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ZG  Zillow (0.01)


DRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DRN  Direxion Real Estate Bull 3x Shares (0.01)


BYRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BYRN  Byrna (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against USO


NGG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NGG  National Grid (-0.53)


CBOE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CBOE  Cboe Global Markets (-0.54)


VIXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VIXY  ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.56)


DUK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DUK  Duke Energy (-0.62)


SCO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SCO  ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Crude Oil (-0.99)







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