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Bullish Case: VAC's recent rebound, noticeable upward trends over long periods despite current undervaluation, and strong Q4 performance against a challenging backdrop suggest enduring resilience and potential for recovery.


Bearish Case: With VAC still well below its historical highs, continued market skepticism expressed through its recent downward price trend and high implied volatility indicate potential further downside.


Potential Outcomes:

1) 50% chance VAC recovers to $105 as market appreciates Q4 performance;

2) 30% chance remains flat if market sentiments don't improve;

3) 20% chance drops below $90 on negative market shifts.


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April 18, 2024


Marriott Vacations Worldwide Forecast

VAC        Marriott Vacations Worldwide
Price Forecast: NEUTRAL    Price Action: MEAN REVERTING (?)






Correlated Stock Forecasts

Assets that tend to move strongly with VAC



EL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [EL]  Estee Lauder Cos. (0.92)


FMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [FMC]  FMC (0.92)


SKIN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [SKIN]  Beauty Health Company (The) (0.92)


GPC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [GPC]  Genuine Parts (0.91)


OGN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [OGN]  Organon (0.9)



Uncorrelated Stock Forecasts

Assets with little price relationship to VAC



QSR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [QSR]  Restaurant Brands International (-0.0)


ZG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [ZG]  Zillow (0.0)


UGL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [UGL]  ProShares Ultra Gold (-0.0)


ROIV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [ROIV]  Roivant Sciences (-0.0)


GLBE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [GLBE]  Global E Online (0.0)



Anticorrelated Stock Forecasts

Assets that tend to move strongly against VAC



LPG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [LPG]  Dorian LPG (-0.84)


CCJ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [CCJ]  Cameco (-0.84)


ATGE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [ATGE]  Adtalem Global Education (-0.85)


IONS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [IONS]  Ionis Pharmaceuticals (-0.87)


AKAM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [AKAM]  Akamai (-0.88)





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