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ESTA Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Elevated implied volatility and recent price gains suggest investors expect positive development in ESTA's market position.

Bearish Case: The backwardated term structure hints at near-term uncertainty, and significant past losses imply sustained caution from investors.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Slight bullish uptrend from product growth (30%).

2. Continued decline due to market skepticism (40%).

3. Flat trading as investors await clarity (30%).

March 12, 2025

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ESTA Establishment Labs

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ESTA

SHLS Shoals (0.77)

ATKR Atkore (0.76)

GES Guess (0.74)

DIN Dine Brands (0.74)

RIG Transocean (0.73)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ESTA

ATRO Astronics (0.0)

EIX Edison International (-0.01)

BB BlackBerry (0.01)

IFF International Flavors & Fragrances (-0.01)

NWL Newell Brands (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ESTA

VIRT Virtu Financial (-0.68)

PM Philip Morris International (-0.68)

ALHC Alignment Healthcare (-0.69)

KGC Kinross Gold (-0.69)

SAP Sap SE (-0.7)

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