NWL Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: NWL's mean-reverting nature and recent positive slime trend may provide upside, with lower Helium-implied volatility suggesting smoother market outlook.


Bearish Case: Continued fundamental weaknesses, declining long-term trend, and relatively high by short-term implied volatility point to potential price deterioration.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Mean reversion (50%).

2. Stagnation (35%).

3. Continued decline (15%). Predictions hinge on historical behavior and market sentiment.


Trading Oracle: Sell a short volatility spread: Buy 1 $8 put and sell 1 $7 put expiring in ~66 days. Leverage Helium's lower implied volatility forecast. High reward:risk, 89% expected Helium profit odds.


July 18, 2024


Newell Brands Forecast

NWL      Newell Brands











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with NWL



CC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CC  Chemours (0.88)


BIP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BIP  Brookfield Infrastructure (0.84)


REM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   REM  iShares Mortgage Real Est (0.84)


WPC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WPC  W. P. Carey (0.82)


SJM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SJM  J.M. Smucker (0.81)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to NWL



AMT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMT  American Tower (0.0)


BILI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BILI  Bilibili (-0.0)


TROW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TROW  T. Rowe Price (-0.0)


TRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TRN  Trinity Industries (-0.0)


EW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EW  Edwards Lifesciences (0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against NWL



FANG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FANG  Diamondback Energy (-0.65)


LBRT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LBRT  Liberty Oilfield Services (-0.66)


ACGL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ACGL  Arch (-0.7)


SWBI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SWBI  Smith & Wesson Brands (-0.71)


YCS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   YCS  ProShares UltraShort Yen (-0.73)


NWL News over Time





Click points to explore news by date. News sentiment ranges from -10 (very negative) to +10 (very positive) where 0 is neutral.






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