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BUSE Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: BUSE's attractive P/B ratio and historical long-term returns, combined with potential institutional interest, could drive upward momentum. The acquisition impact may manifest positively.

Bearish Case: Regulatory concerns and high implied volatility suggest continued price uncertainty. Economic downturn risk persists, potentially depressing prices further.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Regulatory hurdles (50%) depress prices.

2. Institutional investment (40%) stabilizes prices.

3. Economic downturn (20%) pushes further decline.

July 01, 2025

First Busey Forecast

BUSE First Busey

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with BUSE

CMC Commercial Metals (0.89)

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DIN Dine Brands (0.85)

MGM MGM Resorts International (0.84)

LEN Lennar (0.83)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to BUSE

SYF Synchrony Financial (-0.0)

STNE StoneCo (0.0)

CRH CRH Plc (-0.01)

QQQM Invesco Exchange-Traded Fund Trust II - Invesco NASDAQ 100 (-0.01)

MMYT MakeMyTrip (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against BUSE

CRK Comstock Resources (-0.72)

ALHC Alignment Healthcare (-0.74)

VRSN Verisign (-0.75)

JFIN Jiayin (-0.76)

CNP Centerpoint Energy (-0.77)

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