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AP Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: AP shows potential for mean reversion and gains over multi-year holdings due to historical return surfaces, indicating strong recovery potential amid operational improvements.

Bearish Case: High implied volatility and current flat price action suggest significant market uncertainty, with downside risks from historical underperformance and weak sentiment.

Potential Outcomes: Likelihood of stabilization around $2.50 (50%), drop below $2 due to economic pressures (30%), chance of recovery above $3 if market shifts (20%).

June 30, 2025

Ampco-Pittsburgh Forecast

AP Ampco-Pittsburgh

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with AP

SAP Sap SE (0.82)

CRK Comstock Resources (0.81)

HOOD Robinhood Markets (0.8)

LRN Stride (0.77)

JPM JPMorgan Chase (0.77)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to AP

EA Electronic Arts (-0.0)

BRZE Braze (0.0)

EXAS Exact Sciences (-0.0)

BCSF Bain Capital Specialty Finance (-0.02)

HCA HCA Healthcare (-0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against AP

CAG Conagra Brands (-0.69)

PSEC Prospect (-0.7)

KHC Kraft Heinz (-0.71)

CLF Cleveland-Cliffs (-0.71)

SPXU ProShares UltraPro Short S&P 500 (-0.72)

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