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AP Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: AP's recent price increase indicates strong upward momentum. Historical mean reversion suggests potential gains with extended holding periods.

Bearish Case: Persistent high implied volatility and historical volatility signal potential price instability, with downside risk from broader economic conditions.

Potential Outcomes: 40% chance of stabilization around $3 due to recent recovery.
35% continuation of volatility, potential drop to $2.50.
25% chance of further gains to $3.50 if bullish sentiment holds.

May 20, 2025

Ampco-Pittsburgh Forecast

AP Ampco-Pittsburgh

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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SOFI SoFi (0.77)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to AP

SMG Scotts Miracle-Gro (-0.01)

GRBK Green Brick (0.01)

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UNH Unitedhealth (-0.01)

QYLD Global X NASDAQ 100 Covered Call (0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against AP

PAGS PagSeguro Digital (-0.66)

STM New York Shares (-0.67)

ADM Archer Daniels Midland (-0.68)

NXPI NXP Semiconductors (-0.7)

GSL Global Ship Lease (-0.7)

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