ODP Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: ODP's potential growth is supported by WINTON GROUP's involvement and its diverse business lines offering resilience against macroeconomic pressures.




Bearish Case: ODP faces declining revenues and macroeconomic challenges. High implied volatility in puts underscores significant downside risks, especially amidst rising unemployment.




Potential Outcomes:
  1. Stock Price Decline: 40% chance due to economic downturns.
  2. Moderate Gain: 35% potential from strategic improvements.
  3. Volatility Spike: 25% due to market uncertainty.




Trading Oracle:
Bullish Long Volatility Strategy:

Given the divergence between market and Helium implied volatilities, leverage a Bullish Long Volatility Strategy to capitalize on potential price swings without downside risk limitations. The mix of implied and market volatility offers a strategic opportunity.



May 10, 2025


ODP Forecast

ODP        ODP











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ODP



ASH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ASH  Ashland (0.96)


RCKT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RCKT  Rocket Pharmaceuticals (0.94)


VAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VAL  Valaris (0.93)


ADM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ADM  Archer Daniels Midland (0.92)


STNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STNG  Scorpio Tankers (0.92)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ODP



HIW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIW  Highwoods Properties (-0.01)


DKS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DKS  Dicks Sporting Goods (0.01)


EGO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EGO  Eldorado Gold (0.02)


FE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FE  Firstenergy (0.03)


GRBK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GRBK  Green Brick (0.03)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ODP



BR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BR  Broadridge Financial Solutions (-0.84)


OUNZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OUNZ  VanEck Merk Gold (-0.85)


LNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LNG  Cheniere Energy (-0.86)


ORI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ORI  Old Republic International (-0.89)


LRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LRN  Stride (-0.9)









Become a more profitable investor with AI optimized trading strategies






×

Chat with ODP


 Ask any question about ODP!