ODP Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: ODP's potential growth is supported by WINTON GROUP's involvement and its diverse business lines offering resilience against macroeconomic pressures.




Bearish Case: ODP faces declining revenues and macroeconomic challenges. High implied volatility in puts underscores significant downside risks, especially amidst rising unemployment.




Potential Outcomes:
  1. Stock Price Decline: 40% chance due to economic downturns.
  2. Moderate Gain: 35% potential from strategic improvements.
  3. Volatility Spike: 25% due to market uncertainty.




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May 10, 2025


ODP Forecast

ODP        ODP











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ODP



ASH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ASH  Ashland (0.96)


CVE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CVE  Cenovus Energy (0.93)


STNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STNG  Scorpio Tankers (0.92)


XRX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XRX  Xerox (0.92)


ADM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ADM  Archer Daniels Midland (0.92)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ODP



SCHD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SCHD  Schwab US Dividend Equity (-0.0)


ACMR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ACMR  ACM Research (0.02)


HSIC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HSIC  Henry Schein (-0.02)


ROK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ROK  Rockwell Automation (-0.03)


FE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FE  Firstenergy (0.03)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ODP



COMP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COMP  Compass (-0.86)


CORT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CORT  Corcept Therapeutics (-0.86)


UNM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UNM  Unum (-0.87)


PPL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PPL  PPL (-0.88)


LRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LRN  Stride (-0.9)









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