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OPRA Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Despite recent backwardation, OPRA's high call volume and innovative features like tab management suggest potential for user growth and market share expansion.

Bearish Case: Backwardation and low trading volume in options indicate market uncertainty. Intense competition and regulatory risks could limit OPRA's growth.

Potential Outcomes: Moderate Growth (40%): Innovation and partnerships increase user engagement.
Stagnation (35%): Competitive pressures and regulatory challenges maintain flat trajectory.
Decline (25%): Economic headwinds and market disruptions impact growth.

May 15, 2025

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with OPRA

PTON Peloton Interactive (0.93)

ZM Zoom Video Communications (0.92)

ARKF ARK Fintech Innovation (0.91)

RCL Royal Caribbean (0.91)

EXPE Expedia (0.9)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to OPRA

IMO Imperial Oil (-0.01)

ETR Entergy (0.02)

CWEN Clearway Energy (-0.02)

UUUU Energy Fuels (0.02)

BBY Best Buy (0.03)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against OPRA

OGN Organon (-0.68)

XP XP (-0.69)

ADM Archer Daniels Midland (-0.69)

UDN Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish (-0.73)

TMDX Transmedics (-0.75)

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