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SHEL Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: With a 22% buyback reducing share count, SHEL shows strong financial discipline and potential for price growth. Recent earnings strength and low implied volatility also support a bullish view.

Bearish Case: Environmental pressures and volatile energy markets pose risks. High Helium implied volatility above market levels indicates potential instability, suggesting caution.

Potential Outcomes: 30% chance of price stabilization due to strategic buybacks.
25% chance of further downturn from environmental pressures.
20% probability of price increase from strong financials.
25% chance of volatility due to market uncertainties.

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May 28, 2025

Shell Plc - ADR (Representing) Forecast

SHEL Shell Plc - ADR (Representing)

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with SHEL

TWO Two Harbors Investment (0.75)

BMRN Registered Shares (0.75)

PTEN Patterson-UTI Energy (0.72)

KLAC KLA (0.72)

EWW iShares MSCI Mexico (0.69)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SHEL

DKS Dicks Sporting Goods (-0.0)

NGG National Grid (-0.0)

DV DoubleVerify (-0.01)

AA Alcoa (-0.02)

TDOC Teladoc Health (-0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SHEL

BYRN Byrna (-0.67)

ZM Zoom Video Communications (-0.68)

GGAL Grupo Financiero Galicia (-0.69)

PTON Peloton Interactive (-0.7)

AXON Axon Enterprise (-0.71)

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