ACRE Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: ACRE's recent positive price movement and potential benefits from rising interest rates suggest possible recovery momentum.




Bearish Case: Historical poor performance, high borrowing costs, and market volatility pose significant risks to ACRE, potentially leading to further declines.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 30% chance of moderate recovery if interest rate benefits materialize.
  • 60% probability of continued stagnation or decline due to economic pressures.
  • 10% chance of unexpected positive catalyst leading to sharp gains.



July 05, 2025


Ares Commercial Real Estate Forecast

ACRE        Ares Commercial Real Estate











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ACRE



ODP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ODP  ODP (0.91)


STNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STNG  Scorpio Tankers (0.9)


KSS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KSS  Kohl's (0.9)


TEX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TEX  Terex (0.89)


ALGN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ALGN  Align Technology (0.89)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ACRE



STNE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STNE  StoneCo (0.01)


OMF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OMF  OneMain (0.01)


LAC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LAC  Lithium Americas (-0.01)


ROK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ROK  Rockwell Automation (0.01)


OUST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OUST  Ouster (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ACRE



LRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LRN  Stride (-0.81)


CNP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CNP  Centerpoint Energy (-0.82)


ALHC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ALHC  Alignment Healthcare (-0.83)


VRSN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VRSN  Verisign (-0.83)


GILD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GILD  Gilead Sciences (-0.84)









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