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ADP Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: ADP's consistent demand in payroll and HR services supports positive growth. Strong fundamentals and bullish sentiment indicated by high call option volume and elevated implied volatility position ADP for upside potential.

Bearish Case: Economic uncertainties and dependence on small business clients pose risks. Elevated implied volatility reflects market apprehension, potentially signaling downside risk amidst competitive pressures and economic instability.

Potential Outcomes: Probable Outcomes:

1. Sustained revenue growth due to robust demand (45%).

2. Economic downturn reducing revenue (35%).

3. Neutral impact with mixed signals maintaining stability (20%).

May 13, 2025

Automatic Data Processing Forecast

ADP Automatic Data Processing

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ADP

BK Bank Of New York Mellon (0.96)

XLF Financial Select Sector SPDR (0.95)

COMP Compass (0.91)

IMAX Imax (0.91)

UNM Unum (0.91)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ADP

ETR Entergy (-0.0)

LYFT Lyft (0.0)

BBY Best Buy (0.0)

BIV Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Intermediate-Term Bond (0.01)

FLR Fluor (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ADP

STM New York Shares (-0.84)

CVE Cenovus Energy (-0.84)

ADM Archer Daniels Midland (-0.85)

TDW Tidewater Inc. - New (-0.85)

STNG Scorpio Tankers (-0.86)

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