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ADP Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: ADP's robust financials, technology investments, and strong market position underpin growth potential. The implied volatility surface indicates investor expectation for stable upward movement.



Bearish Case: Economic headwinds impacting small businesses, rising competition in HR services, and high historical valuation multiples present risks. ADP's reliance on small business health might weaken forecasts.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Strong demand growth overcoming economic challenges (35%).
  • Economic slowdown impacting small businesses, reducing demand (40%).
  • Stable market conditions with no significant impact (25%).



Trading Oracle: Execute a bullish credit spread strategy by selling the $300 strike put and buying the $290 put expiring in 17 days. This exploits positive implied volatility, with an 81% odds of profit, aligning with strong institutional support and stable demand.


February 06, 2025


Automatic Data Processing Forecast

ADP        Automatic Data Processing

4 Day Price Forecast + Historical Performance.  Video Tutorial: Trade Smarter With Helium's AI Forecasts

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ADP


CWAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CWAN  Clearwater Analytics Holdings (0.93)


G Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   G  Genpact (0.92)


NOW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NOW  ServiceNow (0.89)


CBRE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CBRE  CBRE (0.88)


UDOW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UDOW  ProShares UltraPro Dow30 (0.87)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ADP


PACB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PACB  Pacific Biosciences of California (0.0)


FPI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FPI  Farmland (-0.0)


EH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EH  EHang Holdings Ltd - (-0.01)


PBPB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PBPB  Potbelly (0.01)


DOMO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DOMO  Domo (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ADP


VAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VAL  Valaris (-0.85)


WFRD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WFRD  Weatherford International plc - New (-0.85)


DVN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DVN  Devon Energy (-0.87)


OXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OXY  Occidental Petroleum (-0.88)


ASML Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ASML  New York Shares (-0.88)







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