AGNC Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: AGNC's attractive dividend yield and a potential stabilization in interest rates could entice income-focused investors, offering moderate upside. Despite current price struggles, low price-to-book ratio signals undervaluation potential.




Bearish Case: High trading volume in put options suggests bearish sentiment, with interest rate uncertainty threatening AGNC's MBS portfolio and dividend sustainability. Persistent negative historical returns reinforce downside risk, compounded by volatile rate environments.




Potential Outcomes:

1. Price decline from interest rate pressures (60%).
2. Range-bound around $8.5-$9.0 amid mixed signals (25%).
3. Moderate appreciation from dividends and stabilizing rates (15%).



April 10, 2025


AGNC Investment Forecast

AGNC        AGNC Investment











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with AGNC



TWO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TWO  Two Harbors Investment (0.78)


ARR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ARR  ARMOUR Residential REIT (0.6)


FEZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FEZ  SPDR EURO Stoxx 50 (0.59)


KLAC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KLAC  KLA (0.58)


KO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KO  Coca-Cola (0.56)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to AGNC



CB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CB  Chubb (-0.0)


UROY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UROY  Uranium Royalty (0.0)


AMPL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMPL  Amplitude (0.0)


BBWI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BBWI  Bath & Body Works (0.01)


PRAA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PRAA  PRA (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against AGNC



CXW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CXW  CoreCivic (-0.42)


MMYT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MMYT  MakeMyTrip (-0.43)


FLR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FLR  Fluor (-0.43)


EA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EA  Electronic Arts (-0.46)


CALM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CALM  Cal-Maine Foods (-0.49)









Become a more profitable investor with AI optimized trading strategies






×

Chat with AGNC


 Ask any question about AGNC!