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AGO Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Assured Guaranty's ongoing buybacks, mean-reverting price action, and low price-to-book ratio suggest potential gains. Market stability and favorable economic conditions could further boost share value.

Bearish Case: High implied volatility and increased put option volumes reflect market anxiety. Potential regulatory challenges and economic concerns maintain downward pressure risks. Caution is warranted amid these uncertainties.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Steady growth due to buybacks and recovery (55%).

2. Economic/regulatory setbacks cause decline (30%).

3. Minimal price movement as market normalizes (15%).

June 14, 2025

Assured Guaranty Forecast

AGO Assured Guaranty

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with AGO

RJF Raymond James Financial (0.91)

ZG Zillow (0.89)

SYF Synchrony Financial (0.89)

UAL United Airlines (0.89)

UPST Upstart (0.88)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to AGO

FEZ SPDR EURO Stoxx 50 (0.0)

NIO NIO (-0.0)

RACE Ferrari (-0.01)

ALLY Ally Financial (-0.01)

HST Host Hotels & Resorts (0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against AGO

TTE TotalEnergies SE (-0.67)

ICLN BTC iShares Global Clean Energy (-0.68)

SPXU ProShares UltraPro Short S&P 500 (-0.7)

FLGT Fulgent Genetics (-0.71)

TMDX Transmedics (-0.74)

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* Disclaimer: Nothing on this website constitutes investment advice, performance data or any recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. Helium Trades is not responsible in any way for the accuracy of any model predictions or price data. Any mention of a particular security and related prediction data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Helium Trades is not responsible for any of your investment decisions, you should consult a financial expert before engaging in any transaction.