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AGO Forecast + Trading Strategies



Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: AGO is likely to benefit from mean-reversion trends and positive sentiment from ongoing buybacks, leading to potential upward momentum in stock price which can be leveraged through call options.



Bearish Case: Increased market uncertainty and higher put option volumes suggest potential downward pressure on AGO, particularly with regulatory shifts that might impact performance negatively in the near term.



Potential Outcomes:

1) Sustained buybacks boost price to $95 (40%).

2) Increased volatility from regulatory news causes a dip to $85 (30%).

3) Market stabilizes, leading to moderate gains around $90 (30%).



Trading Oracle: Consider initiating a call spread: buy AGO 01/17/2025 90.00 C and sell AGO 01/17/2025 95.00 C. This positions for a bullish outlook with potential returns of 343% given favorable volatility dynamics. It's a mid-term bullish strategy while considering current implied volatility structures.


November 15, 2024


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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with AGO


TRMB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TRMB  Trimble (0.76)


CG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CG  Carlyle (0.76)


BAM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BAM  Brookfield Asset (0.73)


VTRS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VTRS  Viatris (0.73)


TRV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TRV  Travelers Companies (0.73)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to AGO


FUBO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FUBO  fuboTV (-0.0)


CIM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CIM  Chimera Investment (-0.0)


SRE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SRE  Sempra Energy (-0.0)


MDLZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MDLZ  Mondelez International (-0.0)


URNM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   URNM  North Shore Global Uranium Mining (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against AGO


HUM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HUM  Humana (-0.52)


AMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMC  AMC Entertainment (-0.56)


PDD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PDD  Pinduoduo (-0.57)


ADM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ADM  Archer Daniels Midland (-0.6)


FLNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FLNG  Flex Lng (-0.61)







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