AL Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: AL's modernized fleet and low P/B ratio suggest potential undervaluation. Implied volatility is lower than SPY, offering a growth opportunity as market recalibrates.




Bearish Case: High option volatility and economic pressures suggest downside risk. A decline in price over the past year indicates market skepticism about recovery prospects.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Flat trading amid market recalibration (40%).
  • Price recovery from undervaluation and fleet upgrades (35%).
  • Downtrend due to economic pressures (25%).



April 22, 2025


Air Lease Corp Forecast

AL        Air Lease Corp











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TDOC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TDOC  Teladoc Health (0.66)


BBWI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BBWI  Bath & Body Works (0.64)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to AL



RRR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RRR  Red Rock Resorts (0.0)


LNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LNG  Cheniere Energy (0.0)


FLNC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FLNC  Fluence Energy (-0.0)


GSL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GSL  Global Ship Lease (-0.01)


NOW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NOW  ServiceNow (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against AL



SNY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SNY  Sanofi (-0.51)


KO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KO  Coca-Cola (-0.52)


HCA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HCA  HCA Healthcare (-0.59)


UL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UL  Unilever (-0.62)


VXX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VXX  iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.64)









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