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ALGN Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: ALGN's continuous innovation and strategic expansion in Asia-Pacific promise significant growth. High implied volatility implies potential upside surprises driving bullish sentiment.



Bearish Case: High competition, weak macros, and persistent volatility risks indicate potential downside. ALGN's valuation challenges could exacerbate bearish trends, limiting recovery momentum.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Earnings volatility, 60% due to high implied volatility.
  • Upside if product launches succeed, 30% chance.
  • Price stagnation, 10%, given mixed signals.



Trading Oracle: Consider a Bullish Short Volatility strategy: Sell ATM put options and buy OOTM puts. High implied volatility pre-earnings provides an opportunity to capture premium in a turbulent market environment, anticipating a stabilization or correction.


May 01, 2025


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GES Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GES  Guess (0.85)


MUR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MUR  Murphy Oil (0.85)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ALGN


IJH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IJH  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Core S&P Mid-Cap (0.0)


FLR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FLR  Fluor (-0.0)


DAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DAL  Delta Air Lines (-0.01)


UWM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UWM  ProShares Ultra Russell2000 (0.01)


BKE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BKE  Buckle (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ALGN


LRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LRN  Stride (-0.74)


AGI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AGI  Alamos Gold (-0.74)


AON Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AON  Aon plc. - (-0.8)


OUNZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OUNZ  VanEck Merk Gold (-0.81)


FOXA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FOXA  Fox Corporation - (-0.82)







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