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ALK Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Alaska Air benefits from strong travel demand recovery and strategic partnerships, boosting revenues and market share. The demand for air travel remains robust, supporting further stock appreciation.

Bearish Case: High operational costs, ongoing legal issues, and significant geopolitical tensions could hinder Alaska Air’s profitability, causing downward pressure on stock prices despite recent rebounds.

Potential Outcomes: 55%: Revenue boost from strong travel demand.
45%: Legal issues and costs dent profits.
20%: Geopolitical tensions disrupt operations.

Trading Oracle: Consider bullish debit spreads due to robust implied volatility and strong historical price recovery. Buy ALK $75 C, sell $80 C expiring in 3-6 months. Balance risk with favorable implied volatility dynamics, high reward:risk ratio.

January 30, 2025

Alaska Air Forecast

ALK Alaska Air

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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