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ALK Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Expected demand from strategic expansions and capacity efficiency could improve profitability, supported by recent earnings beat and market sentiment shifts.

Bearish Case: Persistent operational and legal challenges may sustain volatility and hinder recovery, as implied by high short-term implied volatility and current social sentiment.

Potential Outcomes: Revenue growth from new routes (50% chance)
Operational disruptions continue (35%)
Legal issues escalate (15%)

May 20, 2025

Alaska Air Forecast

ALK Alaska Air

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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USO United States Commodity Funds (-0.0)

FUN Cedar Fair (-0.01)

NIO NIO (0.01)

VIR Vir Biotechnology (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ALK

CNC Centene (-0.74)

STNE StoneCo (-0.76)

FLGT Fulgent Genetics (-0.78)

HII Huntington Ingalls Industries (-0.85)

TMDX Transmedics (-0.87)

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