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AMBC Forecast



Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: A surge in institutional buying could boost AMBC beyond resistance levels, especially given favorable upcoming earnings reports. The high call trading volume supports upward momentum.



Bearish Case: Persistently high market uncertainty and a likely continuation of recent price stagnation suggest potential downward pressure on AMBC, especially if economic indicators remain weak.



Potential Outcomes:
  • 30% likelihood of AMBC hitting $14.00 by December due to positive earnings.
  • 50% chance of maintaining stability around $12.00.
  • 20% chance of dropping below $11.00 as volatility spikes.



Trading Oracle: Consider implementing a bullish call spread by buying the $13 call and selling the $15 call expiring January 2025. This strategy leverages positive volatility and potentially high reward with an 80% probability of profit and a favorable risk:reward ratio.


November 15, 2024


AMBAC Financial Forecast

AMBC        AMBAC Financial

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CC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CC  Chemours (0.86)


ALB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ALB  Albemarle (0.86)


HELE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HELE  Helen of Troy (0.84)


ADNT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ADNT  Adient (0.83)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to AMBC


NOVA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NOVA  Sunnova Energy International (0.0)


CMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CMC  Commercial Metals (0.0)


VLY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VLY  Valley National Bancorp (0.0)


BEP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BEP  Brookfield Renewable (0.01)


AME Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AME  Ametek (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against AMBC


BBY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BBY  Best Buy (-0.79)


RYAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RYAN  Ryan Specialty (-0.79)


IRM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IRM  Iron Mountain (-0.79)


OHI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OHI  Omega Healthcare Investors (-0.8)


PLTR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PLTR  Palantir (-0.81)







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