AMBC Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: AMBC's bullish scenario stems from adequate institutional support, heightened trading of call options indicating anticipated growth, and recent EPS estimates surpassing expectations, hinting at improved financial health.


Bearish Case: A decade-long downtrend, poor short-term price performance, and consistently high implied volatilities on put options paint a picture of lingering market skepticism and potential further declines.


Potential Outcomes: 70% chance AMBC remains flat or declines slightly due to ongoing market hesitance; 30% chance AMBC rebounds modestly on investor optimism spurred by institutional actions and earnings surprises.


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April 30, 2024


AMBAC Financial Forecast

AMBC        AMBAC Financial
Price Forecast: NEUTRAL    Price Action: RANDOM (?)











Correlated Stock Forecasts

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STNE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STNE  StoneCo (0.91)


BUD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BUD  Anheuser-Busch (0.88)


SPGI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPGI  S&P Global (0.88)


HST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HST  Host Hotels & Resorts (0.85)



Uncorrelated Stock Forecasts

Assets with little price relationship to AMBC



TAP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TAP  Molson Coors Beverage (0.0)


MTTR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MTTR  Matterport (0.0)


YOU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   YOU  Clear Secure (-0.0)


JACK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JACK  Jack In The Box (-0.0)


BOX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BOX  Box (0.0)



Anticorrelated Stock Forecasts

Assets that tend to move strongly against AMBC



DXD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DXD  ProShares UltraShort Dow30 (-0.8)


CRK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRK  Comstock Resources (-0.81)


SRS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SRS  ProShares UltraShort Real Estate (-0.83)


CELH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CELH  Celsius (-0.84)


DRV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DRV  Direxion Daily Real Estate Bear 3X Shares (-0.85)





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