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ARES Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: ARES displays strong historical returns with implied volatility suggesting potential upside. Positive sentiment around defense sector investments adds to growth prospects, supported by strategic acquisitions.

Bearish Case: High implied volatility and flat recent performance indicate market caution. Sector volatility and broader economic uncertainties might lead to increased pressure on ARES, risking downward adjustments.

Potential Outcomes: Market rally boosts ARES (45%). Sector volatility results in flat performance (35%). Downturn due to competition or economic pressures (20%).

Trading Oracle: Utilize a bullish debit spread: buy $200 call and sell $210 call expiring in ~60 days. Leverage the potential upward volatility while managing risk. This capitalizes on expected price momentum, balancing cost with potential profit.

January 29, 2025

Ares Forecast

ARES Ares

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ARES

ZBRA Zebra (0.94)

BCS Barclays (0.94)

KKR KKR (0.93)

CRS Carpenter Technology (0.93)

KBE SPDR Series Trust - SPDR S&P (0.92)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ARES

AMC AMC Entertainment (0.0)

UVXY ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures (0.02)

TNDM Tandem Diabetes Care (0.02)

INTU Intuit (-0.03)

CMC Commercial Metals (-0.03)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ARES

XRX Xerox (-0.83)

CNI Canadian National Railway (-0.83)

EL Estee Lauder Cos. (-0.84)

LEA Lear (-0.86)

SPXS Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.91)

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* Disclaimer: Nothing on this website constitutes investment advice, performance data or any recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. Helium Trades is not responsible in any way for the accuracy of any model predictions or price data. Any mention of a particular security and related prediction data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Helium Trades is not responsible for any of your investment decisions, you should consult a financial expert before engaging in any transaction.