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ATI Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: High call volume and significant historical returns indicate potential upward momentum, especially as strategic moves continue to boost aerospace sector involvement.

Bearish Case: Persistent high implied volatility suggests caution, with local economic challenges potentially impacting ATI's stock negatively. The recent downward trend further supports the bearish outlook.

Potential Outcomes:

1)

Continued Growth

: 40% chance driven by strong historical growth and industry trends.

2)

Economic Impact

: 35% chance local issues hinder performance.

3)

Increased Volatility

: 25% chance due to market uncertainties.

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March 04, 2025

Allegheny Forecast

ATI Allegheny

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ATI

FE Firstenergy (0.75)

KO Coca-Cola (0.75)

IFF International Flavors & Fragrances (0.7)

CDNA Caredx (0.69)

KDP Keurig Dr Pepper (0.69)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ATI

BDX Becton, Dickinson And Company (-0.0)

PTON Peloton Interactive (0.0)

OWL Blue Owl (-0.0)

PAY Paymentus (-0.01)

LYV Live Nation Entertainment (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ATI

LAC Lithium Americas (-0.6)

LSCC Lattice Semiconductor (-0.6)

INFA Informatica (-0.61)

FRSH Freshworks (-0.62)

WST West Pharmaceutical Services (-0.69)

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