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AVNW Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: AVNW's recent price jump and strong historical resilience suggest potential upside, supported by improved investor sentiment and reduced competition concerns.

Bearish Case: Current high implied volatility and recent price drop raise concerns about market instability and potential downside due to strategic missteps or broader market downturns.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Earnings improvement (35%),

2. Strategic missteps (25%),

3. Market competition intensifies (20%),

4. Market stabilizes (20%).

Trading Oracle: Initiate a bullish debit spread, buy AVNW calls at $20, sell at $25. High implied volatility supports this with short-term horizon of 30 days, targeting a breakout above recent high.

February 21, 2025

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Assets that tend to move strongly with AVNW

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HDSN Hudson Technologies (0.95)

XRX Xerox (0.93)

DBI Designer Brands (0.93)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to AVNW

HCC Warrior Met Coal (-0.0)

TNDM Tandem Diabetes Care (0.01)

DOX Amdocs (0.01)

EH EHang Holdings Ltd - (0.01)

PYCR Paycor HCM (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against AVNW

KKR KKR (-0.93)

PPC Pilgrim's Pride (-0.93)

TGTX TG Therapeutics (-0.93)

TMUS T-Mobile US (-0.93)

CNX CNX Resources (-0.93)

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