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AWH Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: AWH's OvaWatch test expansion shows promise in New York, potentially leading to increased adoption. Positive social media sentiment supports innovation-driven growth.



Bearish Case: AWH faces significant financial instability with low historical returns and mean-reverting price action. Investor skepticism about sustainability and market competitiveness persists.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Successful OvaWatch expansion (25%)—price increase.
  • Ongoing financial struggles (45%)—price decline.
  • Partnership announcements (15%)—moderate price rise.
  • Market volatility impacts (15%).



Trading Oracle: Implement a bearish credit spread strategy. Sell the $1.00 strike call and buy a $1.50 strike call with a 3-6 month horizon. This leverages AWH’s financial uncertainties and aligns with mean reversion trends.


December 27, 2024


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IEP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IEP  Icahn (0.93)


XRX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XRX  Xerox (0.92)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to AWH


APH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   APH  Amphenol (0.0)


FANG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FANG  Diamondback Energy (0.0)


S Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   S  Sprint (0.01)


OGN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OGN  Organon (0.03)


NKLA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NKLA  Nikola (0.03)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against AWH


VIRT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VIRT  Virtu Financial (-0.95)


AGX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AGX  Argan (-0.95)


TT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TT  Trane (-0.95)


ERJ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ERJ  Embraer (-0.95)


BSX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BSX  Boston Scientific (-0.96)







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