AXON Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: AXON's historical mean-reversion and institutional interest indicate strong potential for price gains. Elevated call option volumes support a bullish outlook.




Bearish Case: High implied volatility and insider selling suggest market concerns. Potential regulatory issues could further depress prices in the near term.




Potential Outcomes:

1. Earnings beat drives prices up 50%.

2. Market volatility leads to price drop 30%.

3. Stability despite uncertainties 20%.




Trading Oracle: Utilize bullish debit spreads by buying $680 calls and selling $700 calls expiring in March 2025. The strategy exploits implied vol contango, offers a high reward:risk ratio, and aligns with positive price momentum, yielding a likely profitable outcome.



February 18, 2025


Axon Enterprise Forecast

AXON        Axon Enterprise











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CBRE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CBRE  CBRE (0.93)


WH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WH  Wyndham Hotels & Resorts (0.92)


NOW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NOW  ServiceNow (0.91)


DBX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DBX  Dropbox (0.91)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to AXON



AMT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMT  American Tower (-0.0)


TYO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TYO  Direxion Daily 7-10 Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares (-0.0)


RMBS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RMBS  Rambus (-0.01)


LLY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LLY  Lilly(Eli) (-0.01)


WY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WY  Weyerhaeuser (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against AXON



SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.86)


BLNK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BLNK  Blink Charging (-0.87)


TNK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TNK  Teekay Tankers (-0.88)


BIIB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BIIB  Biogen (-0.89)


VAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VAL  Valaris (-0.89)









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