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AXON Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: AXON's robust innovation and increasing market demand position it well for further growth. Social sentiment favors optimism, with potential regulatory support boosting its public safety solutions.



Bearish Case: High implied volatility and recent price decline (-10.7% last month) suggest market caution. Regulatory risks and privacy concerns could pressure further downward price corrections.



Potential Outcomes: Earnings beat, driving price up (65%); Market volatility causes dips (25%); Insider selling stagnates growth (10%).



Trading Oracle: Implement bullish debit call spreads: Buy the $600C, sell the $650C expiring March 2025. Capitalize on favorable implied vol contango and potential bullish momentum. Short-term focus enhances profitability from anticipated volatility mean reversion.


January 15, 2025


Axon Enterprise Forecast

AXON        Axon Enterprise

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CBRE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CBRE  CBRE (0.91)


UNM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UNM  Unum (0.9)


IWD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IWD  iShares Russell 1000 Value (0.88)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to AXON


DNN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DNN  Denison Mines (0.0)


UVXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UVXY  ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures (0.0)


INTU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INTU  Intuit (0.01)


GTE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GTE  Gran Tierra Energy (0.01)


URBN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   URBN  Urban Outfitters (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against AXON


SHLS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SHLS  Shoals (-0.8)


IEP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IEP  Icahn (-0.81)


XRX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XRX  Xerox (-0.83)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.86)


BIIB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BIIB  Biogen (-0.89)







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