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AZO Forecast

Price Forecast:

Bearish <-> Bullish

Bullish Case: AZO's strong business model and positive analyst sentiment suggest potential growth, bolstered by recent robust earnings reports. The low implied volatility across options indicates low market expectations for downside, paving the way for upward price movement.

Bearish Case: Increased insider selling, coupled with high valuation ratios and recent negative sentiment, raises concerns about AZO's sustainability, making it vulnerable to declines despite its historical performance.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Continued growth with a 60% probability (strong fundamentals).

2. Price stagnation around $3,200 at 30% likelihood (market adjusting to valuations).

3. Decline to $3,000, 10% chance (negative sentiment impacts).

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November 21, 2024

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Assets that tend to move strongly with AZO

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UNM Unum (0.81)

SHW Sherwin-Williams (0.81)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to AZO

WY Weyerhaeuser (-0.0)

CWEB Direxion Daily CSI China Internet Index Bu (0.01)

QRVO Qorvo (-0.02)

URBN Urban Outfitters (0.02)

VRNT Verint Systems (0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against AZO

CSIQ Canadian Solar (-0.73)

RIO Rio Tinto (-0.74)

RWM ProShares Trust - ProShares Short Russell2000 (-0.74)

INDI Indie Semiconductor (-0.74)

BIIB Biogen (-0.78)

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