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BASE Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Strong technical foundation with low-latency features underpins potential growth, along with increasing social engagement and optimistic sentiment on potential collaboration with B3.

Bearish Case: Backwardation in options term structure, high historical price revert tendencies, and recent put option dominance indicate market hesitation and possible price stagnation ahead.

Potential Outcomes: Collaborations boost growth: 35%
Market inertia persists: 40%
Increased profitability: 25%

May 25, 2025

Couchbase Forecast

BASE Couchbase

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with BASE

ALLY Ally Financial (0.63)

PTEN Patterson-UTI Energy (0.58)

HCC Warrior Met Coal (0.57)

ETNB 89bio (0.53)

DV DoubleVerify (0.52)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to BASE

CEG Constellation Energy (-0.0)

UBER Uber (0.0)

MAC Macerich (-0.01)

FE Firstenergy (-0.01)

ULTA Ulta Beauty (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against BASE

FNF Fidelity National Financial (-0.38)

PPL PPL (-0.39)

POST Post (-0.42)

COMP Compass (-0.42)

VIXY ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.47)

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