BASE Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: BASE's acquisition by private equity is poised to fuel innovation and scalability, while upbeat social sentiment and high call option volume suggest strong bullish momentum.




Bearish Case: Backwardation in term structure and mean-reverting trends indicate hesitancy; centralized control remains a concern. High implied volatility could precede volatility-driven declines.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Major growth from acquisition: 60%
  • Market stagnation due to costs: 30%
  • Volatility-driven decline: 10%



June 25, 2025


Couchbase Forecast

BASE        Couchbase











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with BASE



ALLY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ALLY  Ally Financial (0.59)


CHCT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CHCT  Community Healthcare (0.53)


VMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VMC  Vulcan Materials (0.52)


ROK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ROK  Rockwell Automation (0.47)


OUST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OUST  Ouster (0.47)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to BASE



TAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TAL  TAL Education (0.0)


SABR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SABR  Sabre (0.0)


MTN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MTN  Vail Resorts (-0.0)


TMO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TMO  Thermo Fisher Scientific (-0.0)


MYGN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MYGN  Myriad Genetics (-0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against BASE



VIXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VIXY  ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.3)


NIO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NIO  NIO (-0.31)


SPXU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXU  ProShares UltraPro Short S&P 500 (-0.32)


BABA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BABA  Alibaba (-0.33)


FNF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FNF  Fidelity National Financial (-0.38)









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