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BJ Forecast + Trading Strategies



Price Forecast:




80% Confidence

Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: BJ's demonstrated strong membership growth and improved margins due to its strategic price increases, expected to enhance profitability. The high call option volume indicates market confidence in upward price movement.



Bearish Case: Intensified competition from giants like Costco could impede BJ's growth. Recent insider sales and market volatility paint a challenging outlook, risking stagnation or decline in stock performance.



Potential Outcomes:
  1. Continued market share growth: 60%
  2. Stagnation due to competition: 30%
  3. Insider sales trigger a downturn: 10%



Trading Oracle: Adopt a bullish credit spread strategy by selling 1 $95 put and buying 2 $90 puts, targeting a 79% probability of profit with the potential return of 11%. This approach leverages expectations of low volatility while reducing risk exposure effectively.


December 14, 2024


BJ's Wholesale Club Forecast

BJ        BJ's Wholesale Club

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with BJ


HIMS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIMS  Hims & Hers Health (0.94)


BAC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BAC  Bank Of America (0.9)


NTAP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NTAP  Netapp (0.89)


HOOD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HOOD  Robinhood Markets (0.89)


AGIO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AGIO  Agios Pharmaceuticals (0.87)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to BJ


AUPH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AUPH  Aurinia Pharmaceuticals (-0.0)


UDN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UDN  Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish (0.0)


CTRA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CTRA  Coterra Energy (-0.0)


TBT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TBT  PowerShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Yea (-0.0)


DDOG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DDOG  Datadog (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against BJ


XRAY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XRAY  DENTSPLY Sirona (-0.84)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.84)


COUR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COUR  Coursera (-0.85)


ABEV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ABEV  Ambev (-0.85)


EWZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EWZ  iShares MSCI Brazil (-0.9)







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