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BMY Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: BMY's robust R&D pipeline, promising drug approvals, and undervaluation indicate potential for stock appreciation, supported by high investor call option interest and improving market sentiment.

Bearish Case: Expiring patents, growing competition, and insider selling risk pressure revenues and sentiment. High implied volatility reflects market apprehension, signaling potential downside risks.

Potential Outcomes: New drug successes boost valuation (40%)
Revenue declines due to patent expirations (30%)
Continued market stagnation (30%)

Trading Oracle: Execute a bullish debit spread by buying the BMY 06/20/2025 $60 Call and selling $65 Call. Target post-pipeline news within 3-6 months. Elevated implied volatility and positive sentiment trends enhance profit potential, providing substantial alpha with favorable risk/reward.

February 01, 2025

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Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to BMY

PI Impinj (-0.0)

ED Consolidated Edison (0.01)

DNN Denison Mines (-0.01)

PSFE Paysafe Limited (0.01)

APH Amphenol (0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against BMY

WFRD Weatherford International plc - New (-0.76)

BIIB Biogen (-0.78)

TNK Teekay Tankers (-0.83)

ST Sensata (-0.83)

OGN Organon (-0.84)

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