BMY Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: BMY's robust R&D pipeline, promising drug approvals, and undervaluation indicate potential for stock appreciation, supported by high investor call option interest and improving market sentiment.




Bearish Case: Expiring patents, growing competition, and insider selling risk pressure revenues and sentiment. High implied volatility reflects market apprehension, signaling potential downside risks.




Potential Outcomes:
  • New drug successes boost valuation (40%)
  • Revenue declines due to patent expirations (30%)
  • Continued market stagnation (30%)




Trading Oracle: Execute a bullish debit spread by buying the BMY 06/20/2025 $60 Call and selling $65 Call. Target post-pipeline news within 3-6 months. Elevated implied volatility and positive sentiment trends enhance profit potential, providing substantial alpha with favorable risk/reward.



February 01, 2025


Bristol-Myers Squibb Forecast

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