BOH Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: BOH has displayed recent positive momentum, gaining 8.8% in the past month, and its implied volatility suggests potential for further bullish moves.


Bearish Case: BOH faces substantial downside risks including high uncertainty, raising regulatory capital, and its underperformance against peers. Historical data shows a likelihood of declining returns.


Potential Outcomes: Price declines prevail over the medium term (60% chance), minor recovery potential (30%), and heightened uncertainty possibly impacting pricing (10%).


Trading Oracle: Execute a bullish debit spread expiring in ~31 days: buy 2 $60 call options and sell 1 $65 call option. This leverages high implied volatility and aligns with recent positive momentum. Market odds profit at 29%, strategy edges show potential high reward:risk dynamic.


July 14, 2024


Bank of Hawaii Forecast

BOH      Bank of Hawaii











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with BOH



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.46)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.1)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.23)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.28)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to BOH



VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.1)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.23)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.28)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.46)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against BOH



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.46)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.1)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.23)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.28)





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