BPMC Forecast



Price Forecast:


Bearish<—>Bullish




Bullish Case: BPMC's recent strong performance in the mastocytosis market and promising clinical pipeline suggest significant upside. Implied volatility remains high, indicating market optimism for upcoming results.




Bearish Case: Yet persistent insider selling and recent flat price action raise concerns about investor confidence, suggesting potential downward pressure if losses continue or clinical trials underperform.




Potential Outcomes:
  1. Positive AYVAKIT sales growth (60%)
  2. Pipeline success boosts price (40%)
  3. Insider selling dampens sentiment (30%)
  4. Negative clinical trial results (20%)
  5. Market corrections impact cheaper entry points (25%)




Trading Oracle: Trade a bull call spread on BPMC: buy $100 calls ($2), sell $110 calls ($1.25) for December 2024 expiration. This leverages high volatility for limited downside while aiming for significant upside if good news emerges. Focus on managing theta risk with mid-term positioning.



December 05, 2024


Blueprint Medicines Forecast

BPMC        Blueprint Medicines











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