BROS Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Dutch Bros' aggressive expansion and strong consumer sentiment continue to drive growth. Implied volatility surfaces show market optimism, with lowered volatility in long-dated options supporting a bullish stance.




Bearish Case: High short-term implied volatility indicates market uncertainty. Recent mean-reverting price action and elevated put volumes suggest potential downside risks due to investor skepticism about sustained growth.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Expansion success boosts growth: 55% chance.
  • Operational/legal setbacks erode value: 35% chance.
  • Market-induced volatility causes swings: 10% chance.



April 30, 2025


Dutch Bros Forecast

BROS        Dutch Bros











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MAIN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MAIN  Main Street (0.87)


TPR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TPR  Tapestry (0.86)


USAU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   USAU  U.S. Gold (0.85)


AROC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AROC  Archrock (0.83)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to BROS



KO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KO  Coca-Cola (-0.01)


WBA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WBA  Walgreens Boots Alliance (0.01)


GT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GT  Goodyear Tire & Rubber (0.02)


BBWI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BBWI  Bath & Body Works (0.02)


BIP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BIP  Brookfield Infrastructure (-0.03)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against BROS



AEO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AEO  American Eagle Outfitters (-0.81)


LEN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LEN  Lennar (-0.84)


PII Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PII  Polaris (-0.85)


IOVA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IOVA  Iovance Biotherapeutics (-0.87)


GIS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GIS  General Mills (-0.9)









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