BZH Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Low price-to-book ratio and undervaluation suggest potential upside. Positive historical returns and high call option volume indicate revived interest and potential momentum.




Bearish Case: High implied volatility and mean reversion suggest downside risk. Concerns about housing market sustainability and tariffs on materials amplify downside potential.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Price stabilizes at $20 (30%).
  • Recovery in housing boosts price to $25 (25%).
  • Market downturn dips price to $15 (45%).




Trading Oracle: Implies downside through low Helium AI forecast and high market volatility. Click bearish long volatility to leverage high uncertainty and protection via put strategy for maximum ROI.



April 17, 2025


Beazer Homes USA Forecast

BZH        Beazer Homes USA











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with BZH



PHM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PHM  PulteGroup (0.92)


ITB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ITB  BTC iShares U.S. Home Construction (0.92)


OMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OMC  Omnicom Group (0.87)


EIX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EIX  Edison International (0.83)


SMG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SMG  Scotts Miracle-Gro (0.77)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to BZH



PDD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PDD  Pinduoduo (-0.01)


GLNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GLNG  Golar Lng (0.01)


FLEX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FLEX  Flex (-0.01)


PTON Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PTON  Peloton Interactive (0.01)


KO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KO  Coca-Cola (0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against BZH



DKL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DKL  Delek Logistics Partners LP - Unit (-0.47)


TBT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TBT  PowerShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Yea (-0.52)


HIMX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIMX  Himax (-0.54)


BB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BB  BlackBerry (-0.62)


DAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DAN  Dana (-0.64)









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