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CAAS Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: CAAS's low P/B ratio and strong auto sector recovery potential, aided by Chinese government incentives, suggest significant undervaluation and rebound potential.

Bearish Case: Geopolitical tensions, high market volatility, and regulatory risks in China threaten CAAS's growth prospects, potentially driving further price declines.

Potential Outcomes: Mean reversion towards historical highs (30%)
Moderate continued decline (40%)
Regulatory-driven downturn (30%)

April 17, 2025

China Automotive Systems Forecast

CAAS China Automotive Systems

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with CAAS

YINN Direxion Daily FTSE China Bull 3X Shares (0.75)

TIGR UP Fintech (0.75)

SCHD Schwab US Dividend Equity (0.74)

MFC Manulife Financial (0.74)

FLEX Flex (0.73)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to CAAS

LYFT Lyft (0.0)

BZH Beazer Homes USA (0.0)

PHM PulteGroup (-0.0)

ADI Analog Devices (0.01)

DDD 3D Systems (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against CAAS

ADM Archer Daniels Midland (-0.67)

XRAY DENTSPLY Sirona (-0.69)

OXY Occidental Petroleum (-0.7)

RCKT Rocket Pharmaceuticals (-0.71)

TDW Tidewater Inc. - New (-0.74)

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