CANE Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: CANE's upward momentum, shown by increased call option volumes, strong historical returns at prolonged holding periods, and seasonal demand spikes, suggest a bullish outlook.




Bearish Case: High implied volatility and mean-reverting trends point to a potential correction risk, driven by health trends reducing sugar consumption and market skepticism.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Rising Demand: 40% - Driven by global supply disruptions.
  • Stability Around $12: 35% - Supported by historical mean reversion.
  • Price Correction to $10: 25% - High volatility indicating downside risk.



March 16, 2025


Teucrium Sugar Forecast

CANE        Teucrium Sugar











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UBER Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UBER  Uber (0.65)


CWH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CWH  Camping World (0.56)


CRC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRC  California Resources (0.55)


MNST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MNST  Monster Beverage (0.55)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to CANE



CAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CAL  Caleres (-0.0)


CWAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CWAN  Clearwater Analytics Holdings (-0.0)


PG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PG  Procter & Gamble (-0.0)


RXRX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RXRX  Recursion Pharmaceuticals (0.0)


UVV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UVV  Universal (0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against CANE



AZN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AZN  Astrazeneca (-0.35)


CLW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CLW  Clearwater Paper (-0.37)


ESTC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ESTC  Elastic (-0.38)


HIMX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIMX  Himax (-0.39)


ENVX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ENVX  Enovix (-0.39)









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