CARA Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: CARA could rise due to successful trials or acquisition talks amid positive sentiment and recent price surge HeliumHelium.




Bearish Case: Risks include regulatory hurdles and volatile price history, potentially leading to setbacks and declines HeliumHelium.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Positive trial results boost (30%)
  • Pipeline failure decline (50%)
  • Acquisition interest stabilizes (20%)




Trading Oracle: Leverage heightened volatility and recent upward trend (, SPY surface) with a bullish long call debit spread on CARA 2025, targeting $5.00/$7.50 strikes. This strategy has high reward:risk and aligns with anticipated positive developments, minimizing downside exposure.



January 23, 2025


Cara Therapeutics Forecast

CARA        Cara Therapeutics











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TRIP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TRIP  TripAdvisor (0.8)


SHAK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SHAK  Shake Shack (0.8)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to CARA



LCID Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LCID  Lucid (-0.0)


CRNC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRNC  Cerence (0.0)


PLBY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PLBY  PLBY (-0.0)


FXE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FXE  Invesco CurrencyShares Euro (-0.01)


LICY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LICY  Li-Cycle Holdings Corp (0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against CARA



RILY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RILY  B. Riley Financial (-0.71)


CRS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRS  Carpenter Technology (-0.72)


TNK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TNK  Teekay Tankers (-0.76)


VAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VAL  Valaris (-0.76)


BIIB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BIIB  Biogen (-0.78)









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