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CL Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Reduced implied volatility in CL alongside a strong brand presence and product innovation could lead to upward price movement despite current uncertainties.

Bearish Case: High debt levels, stagnant price action, and backwardation in the term structure highlight downside risks, especially with competitive pressures and macroeconomic factors looming.

Potential Outcomes: 40% chance of moderate price rise driven by brand strength and innovation.
35% chance of decline due to high debt and competitive risks.
25% stability as offsetting forces balance out.

May 18, 2025

Colgate-Palmolive Forecast

CL Colgate-Palmolive

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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TMDX Transmedics (0.8)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to CL

AA Alcoa (0.0)

DUK Duke Energy (-0.0)

BHC Bausch Health Companies (0.02)

FUN Cedar Fair (0.02)

BIP Brookfield Infrastructure (0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against CL

HIMS Hims & Hers Health (-0.8)

CRK Comstock Resources (-0.8)

TBF ProShares Short 20+ Year Treasury (-0.8)

HOOD Robinhood Markets (-0.81)

FRSH Freshworks (-0.83)

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